{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\jcjohnson\Desktop\JohnsonIIrep\JohnsonIIrep\JohnsonIIrep2.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}31 Jul 2021, 12:46:35

{com}. do "C:\Users\jcjohnson\Desktop\JohnsonIIrep\JohnsonIIrep\JohnsonIIrep.do"
{txt}
{com}. * This file replicates the empirical analysis presented in "Designing Alliances: How Adversaries Provoke Peacetime Military Coordination"
. * Jesse C. Johnson
. * 7/31/21
. 
. * Set Path and Open Data
. 
.         set more off
{txt}
{com}.         *cd "E:\Jesse's Documents\Alliance Coordination\replication\JohnsonIIrep\"
.         *use "JohnsonIIrep.dta", clear
. 
. * Distrubution of Peacetime Coordination
. 
.         tab peacecoord

   {txt}Level of {c |}
  Peacetime {c |}
Coordinatio {c |}
          n {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
        Low {c |}{res}        190       32.09       32.09
{txt}   Moderate {c |}{res}        147       24.83       56.93
{txt}       High {c |}{res}        255       43.07      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}        592      100.00
{txt}
{com}.         
. * Table 2
. 
.         ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-635.48556}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-532.42955}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-531.25414}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-531.24957}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-531.24957}  
{res}
{txt}Ordered logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       592
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}    208.47
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-531.24957{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1640

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  peacecoord{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}cwin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9786044{col 26}{space 2} .4317098{col 37}{space 1}    2.27{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4} .1324687{col 67}{space 3}  1.82474
{txt}{space 5}salchal {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2243523{col 26}{space 2} .1134317{col 37}{space 1}    1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0020302{col 67}{space 3} .4466744
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4514725{col 26}{space 2} .1162923{col 37}{space 1}   -3.88{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6794013{col 67}{space 3}-.2235437
{txt}{space 6}allied {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3449055{col 26}{space 2} .2252809{col 37}{space 1}   -1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.126{col 54}{space 4}-.7864479{col 67}{space 3} .0966369
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.744157{col 26}{space 2} .6988976{col 37}{space 1}    8.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.374343{col 67}{space 3} 7.113971
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -.26504{col 26}{space 2} .5040257{col 37}{space 1}   -0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.599{col 54}{space 4}-1.252912{col 67}{space 3} .7228323
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.852499{col 26}{space 2} .2899809{col 37}{space 1}    6.39{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.284147{col 67}{space 3} 2.420851
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.240848{col 26}{space 2} .2078527{col 37}{space 1}    5.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8334644{col 67}{space 3} 1.648232
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /cut1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6624655{col 26}{space 2} .5944841{col 54}{space 4}-.5027019{col 67}{space 3} 1.827633
{txt}       /cut2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.057674{col 26}{space 2}  .600159{col 54}{space 4} .8813842{col 67}{space 3} 3.233964
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Substantive Effects and Figures
. 
. * Figure 1
. 
.         estsimp ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{txt}Iteration 0:   log likelihood = {res}-635.48556
{txt}Iteration 1:   log likelihood = {res}-533.89489
{txt}Iteration 2:   log likelihood = {res}-531.27314
{txt}Iteration 3:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957
{txt}Iteration 4:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957

{txt}Ordered logit estimates                           Number of obs   = {res}       592
                                                  {txt}LR chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}    208.47
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-531.24957                       {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1640

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
  peacecoord {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        cwin {c |}  {res} .9786044   .4317098     2.27   0.023     .1324687     1.82474
     {txt}salchal {c |}  {res} .2243523   .1134317     1.98   0.048     .0020302    .4466744
      {txt}saltgt {c |}  {res}-.4514725   .1162923    -3.88   0.000    -.6794013   -.2235437
      {txt}allied {c |}  {res}-.3449055   .2252809    -1.53   0.126    -.7864479    .0966369
      {txt}threat {c |}  {res} 5.744157   .6988976     8.22   0.000     4.374343    7.113971
  {txt}similarity {c |}  {res}  -.26504   .5040257    -0.53   0.599    -1.252912    .7228323
         {txt}dem {c |}  {res} 1.852499   .2899809     6.39   0.000     1.284147    2.420851
        {txt}asym {c |}  {res} 1.240848   .2078527     5.97   0.000     .8334644    1.648232
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
       _cut1 {c |}  {res} .6624655   .5944841          {txt}(Ancillary parameters)
       _cut2 {c |}  {res} 2.057674    .600159 
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10
{txt}
{com}. 
.                 setx mean
{txt}
{com}.                 setx dem 0 allied 1 asym 1
{txt}
{com}. 
.                 generate xaxis=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simshigh=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simslow=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simspoint=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 local a=0
{txt}
{com}.                 local b=1
{txt}
{com}.                 while `a'<=1 {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.                         replace xaxis=`a' in `b'
{txt}  3{com}.                         setx cwin `a'
{txt}  4{com}.                         quietly simqi, prval(0) genpr(pi1)
{txt}  5{com}.                         _pctile pi1, p(2.5,50,97.5)
{txt}  6{com}.                         replace simslow=r(r1) in `b'
{txt}  7{com}.                         replace simspoint=r(r2) in `b'
{txt}  8{com}.                         replace simshigh=r(r3) in `b'
{txt}  9{com}.                         drop pi1
{txt} 10{com}.                         local a=`a'+.05
{txt} 11{com}.                         local b=`b'+1
{txt} 12{com}.                         {c )-}
{txt}(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
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{com}.                 
.         # delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         set more off;
{txt}
{com}.         sort xaxis;
{txt}
{com}.                                                         twoway rarea simslow simshigh xaxis, color("gs11") lw(none)
>                 ||line simspoint xaxis,
>                 legend(off)
>                 xtitle(Challenger's Relative Capabilities ,  size(large))
>                 xlabel(0 .25 .50 .75 1,  labsize(large))
>                 ylabel(0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7,  labsize(large))         
>                 ytitle("Probability of Low Coordination" ,  size(large))
>                 title("Low",  size(huge))
>                 lcolor("black")
>                 scheme(s1mono);
{res}{txt}
{com}.                                                                         # delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         drop b1-b10
{txt}
{com}.         drop simshigh* simslow* simspoint* xaxis
{txt}
{com}. 
.         estsimp ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{txt}Iteration 0:   log likelihood = {res}-635.48556
{txt}Iteration 1:   log likelihood = {res}-533.89489
{txt}Iteration 2:   log likelihood = {res}-531.27314
{txt}Iteration 3:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957
{txt}Iteration 4:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957

{txt}Ordered logit estimates                           Number of obs   = {res}       592
                                                  {txt}LR chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}    208.47
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-531.24957                       {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1640

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
  peacecoord {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        cwin {c |}  {res} .9786044   .4317098     2.27   0.023     .1324687     1.82474
     {txt}salchal {c |}  {res} .2243523   .1134317     1.98   0.048     .0020302    .4466744
      {txt}saltgt {c |}  {res}-.4514725   .1162923    -3.88   0.000    -.6794013   -.2235437
      {txt}allied {c |}  {res}-.3449055   .2252809    -1.53   0.126    -.7864479    .0966369
      {txt}threat {c |}  {res} 5.744157   .6988976     8.22   0.000     4.374343    7.113971
  {txt}similarity {c |}  {res}  -.26504   .5040257    -0.53   0.599    -1.252912    .7228323
         {txt}dem {c |}  {res} 1.852499   .2899809     6.39   0.000     1.284147    2.420851
        {txt}asym {c |}  {res} 1.240848   .2078527     5.97   0.000     .8334644    1.648232
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
       _cut1 {c |}  {res} .6624655   .5944841          {txt}(Ancillary parameters)
       _cut2 {c |}  {res} 2.057674    .600159 
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10
{txt}
{com}. 
.         setx mean 
{txt}
{com}.         setx dem 0 allied 1 asym 1
{txt}
{com}. 
.                 generate xaxis=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simshigh=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simslow=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simspoint=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 local a=0
{txt}
{com}.                 local b=1
{txt}
{com}.                 while `a'<=1 {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.                         replace xaxis=`a' in `b'
{txt}  3{com}.                         setx cwin `a'
{txt}  4{com}.                         quietly simqi, prval(1) genpr(pi1)
{txt}  5{com}.                         _pctile pi1, p(2.5,50,97.5)
{txt}  6{com}.                         replace simslow=r(r1) in `b'
{txt}  7{com}.                         replace simspoint=r(r2) in `b'
{txt}  8{com}.                         replace simshigh=r(r3) in `b'
{txt}  9{com}.                         drop pi1
{txt} 10{com}.                         local a=`a'+.05
{txt} 11{com}.                         local b=`b'+1
{txt} 12{com}.                         {c )-}
{txt}(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
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{com}.         
.         # delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         set more off;
{txt}
{com}.         sort xaxis;
{txt}
{com}.                                                         twoway rarea simslow simshigh xaxis, color("gs11") lw(none)
>                 ||line simspoint xaxis,
>                 legend(off)
>                 xtitle(Challenger's Relative Capabilities ,  size(large))
>                 xlabel(0 .25 .50 .75 1,  labsize(large))
>                 ylabel(0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7,  labsize(large))         
>                 ytitle("Probability of Moderate Coordination" ,  size(large))
>                 title(Moderate,  size(huge))
>                 lcolor("black")
>                 scheme(s1mono);
{res}{txt}
{com}.                                                                         # delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         drop b1-b10
{txt}
{com}.         drop simshigh* simslow* simspoint* xaxis        
{txt}
{com}.         
.         estsimp ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{txt}Iteration 0:   log likelihood = {res}-635.48556
{txt}Iteration 1:   log likelihood = {res}-533.89489
{txt}Iteration 2:   log likelihood = {res}-531.27314
{txt}Iteration 3:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957
{txt}Iteration 4:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957

{txt}Ordered logit estimates                           Number of obs   = {res}       592
                                                  {txt}LR chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}    208.47
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-531.24957                       {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1640

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
  peacecoord {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        cwin {c |}  {res} .9786044   .4317098     2.27   0.023     .1324687     1.82474
     {txt}salchal {c |}  {res} .2243523   .1134317     1.98   0.048     .0020302    .4466744
      {txt}saltgt {c |}  {res}-.4514725   .1162923    -3.88   0.000    -.6794013   -.2235437
      {txt}allied {c |}  {res}-.3449055   .2252809    -1.53   0.126    -.7864479    .0966369
      {txt}threat {c |}  {res} 5.744157   .6988976     8.22   0.000     4.374343    7.113971
  {txt}similarity {c |}  {res}  -.26504   .5040257    -0.53   0.599    -1.252912    .7228323
         {txt}dem {c |}  {res} 1.852499   .2899809     6.39   0.000     1.284147    2.420851
        {txt}asym {c |}  {res} 1.240848   .2078527     5.97   0.000     .8334644    1.648232
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
       _cut1 {c |}  {res} .6624655   .5944841          {txt}(Ancillary parameters)
       _cut2 {c |}  {res} 2.057674    .600159 
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10
{txt}
{com}. 
.         setx mean
{txt}
{com}.         setx dem 0 allied 1 asym 1
{txt}
{com}. 
.                 generate xaxis=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simshigh=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simslow=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simspoint=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 local a=0
{txt}
{com}.                 local b=1
{txt}
{com}.                 while `a'<=1 {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.                         replace xaxis=`a' in `b'
{txt}  3{com}.                         setx cwin `a'
{txt}  4{com}.                         quietly simqi, prval(2) genpr(pi1)
{txt}  5{com}.                         _pctile pi1, p(2.5,50,97.5)
{txt}  6{com}.                         replace simslow=r(r1) in `b'
{txt}  7{com}.                         replace simspoint=r(r2) in `b'
{txt}  8{com}.                         replace simshigh=r(r3) in `b'
{txt}  9{com}.                         drop pi1
{txt} 10{com}.                         local a=`a'+.05
{txt} 11{com}.                         local b=`b'+1
{txt} 12{com}.                         {c )-}
{txt}(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
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{com}.                 
.         # delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         set more off;
{txt}
{com}.         sort xaxis;
{txt}
{com}.                                                         twoway rarea simslow simshigh xaxis, color("gs11") lw(none)
>                 ||line simspoint xaxis,
>                 legend(off)
>                 xtitle(Challenger's Relative Capabilities ,  size(large))
>                 xlabel(0 .25 .50 .75 1 ,  labsize(large))
>                 ylabel(0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7,  labsize(large))         
>                 ytitle("Probability of High Coordination" ,  size(large))
>                 title(High,  size(huge))
>                 lcolor("black")
>                 scheme(s1mono);
{res}{txt}
{com}.                                                                         # delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         drop b1-b10
{txt}
{com}.         drop simshigh* simslow* simspoint* xaxis
{txt}
{com}.         
. * Figure 2
. 
.         estsimp ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{txt}Iteration 0:   log likelihood = {res}-635.48556
{txt}Iteration 1:   log likelihood = {res}-533.89489
{txt}Iteration 2:   log likelihood = {res}-531.27314
{txt}Iteration 3:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957
{txt}Iteration 4:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957

{txt}Ordered logit estimates                           Number of obs   = {res}       592
                                                  {txt}LR chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}    208.47
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-531.24957                       {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1640

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
  peacecoord {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        cwin {c |}  {res} .9786044   .4317098     2.27   0.023     .1324687     1.82474
     {txt}salchal {c |}  {res} .2243523   .1134317     1.98   0.048     .0020302    .4466744
      {txt}saltgt {c |}  {res}-.4514725   .1162923    -3.88   0.000    -.6794013   -.2235437
      {txt}allied {c |}  {res}-.3449055   .2252809    -1.53   0.126    -.7864479    .0966369
      {txt}threat {c |}  {res} 5.744157   .6988976     8.22   0.000     4.374343    7.113971
  {txt}similarity {c |}  {res}  -.26504   .5040257    -0.53   0.599    -1.252912    .7228323
         {txt}dem {c |}  {res} 1.852499   .2899809     6.39   0.000     1.284147    2.420851
        {txt}asym {c |}  {res} 1.240848   .2078527     5.97   0.000     .8334644    1.648232
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
       _cut1 {c |}  {res} .6624655   .5944841          {txt}(Ancillary parameters)
       _cut2 {c |}  {res} 2.057674    .600159 
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10
{txt}
{com}. 
.         setx mean 
{txt}
{com}.         setx dem 0 allied 1 asym 1
{txt}
{com}. 
.                 generate xaxis=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simshigh=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simslow=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simspoint=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 local a=1
{txt}
{com}.                 local b=1
{txt}
{com}.                 while `a'<=6 {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.                         replace xaxis=`a' in `b'
{txt}  3{com}.                         setx salchal `a'
{txt}  4{com}.                         quietly simqi, prval(0) genpr(pi1)
{txt}  5{com}.                         _pctile pi1, p(2.5,50,97.5)
{txt}  6{com}.                         replace simslow=r(r1) in `b'
{txt}  7{com}.                         replace simspoint=r(r2) in `b'
{txt}  8{com}.                         replace simshigh=r(r3) in `b'
{txt}  9{com}.                         drop pi1
{txt} 10{com}.                         local a=`a'+1
{txt} 11{com}.                         local b=`b'+1
{txt} 12{com}.                         {c )-}
{txt}(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)

{com}. 
.         # delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         set more off;
{txt}
{com}.         sort xaxis;
{txt}
{com}.                                                         twoway rarea simslow simshigh xaxis, color("gs11") lw(none)
>                 ||line simspoint xaxis,
>                 legend(off)
>                 xtitle(Challenger's Salience,  size(large))
>                 xlabel(1 2 3 4 5 6,  labsize(large))
>                 ylabel(0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7,  labsize(large))         
>                 ytitle("Probability of Low Coordination",  size(large))
>                 title(Low,  size(huge))
>                 lcolor("black")
>                 scheme(s1mono);
{res}{txt}
{com}.                                                                         # delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         drop b1-b10
{txt}
{com}.         drop simshigh* simslow* simspoint* xaxis
{txt}
{com}.         
.         estsimp ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{txt}Iteration 0:   log likelihood = {res}-635.48556
{txt}Iteration 1:   log likelihood = {res}-533.89489
{txt}Iteration 2:   log likelihood = {res}-531.27314
{txt}Iteration 3:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957
{txt}Iteration 4:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957

{txt}Ordered logit estimates                           Number of obs   = {res}       592
                                                  {txt}LR chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}    208.47
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-531.24957                       {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1640

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
  peacecoord {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        cwin {c |}  {res} .9786044   .4317098     2.27   0.023     .1324687     1.82474
     {txt}salchal {c |}  {res} .2243523   .1134317     1.98   0.048     .0020302    .4466744
      {txt}saltgt {c |}  {res}-.4514725   .1162923    -3.88   0.000    -.6794013   -.2235437
      {txt}allied {c |}  {res}-.3449055   .2252809    -1.53   0.126    -.7864479    .0966369
      {txt}threat {c |}  {res} 5.744157   .6988976     8.22   0.000     4.374343    7.113971
  {txt}similarity {c |}  {res}  -.26504   .5040257    -0.53   0.599    -1.252912    .7228323
         {txt}dem {c |}  {res} 1.852499   .2899809     6.39   0.000     1.284147    2.420851
        {txt}asym {c |}  {res} 1.240848   .2078527     5.97   0.000     .8334644    1.648232
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
       _cut1 {c |}  {res} .6624655   .5944841          {txt}(Ancillary parameters)
       _cut2 {c |}  {res} 2.057674    .600159 
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10
{txt}
{com}. 
.         setx mean 
{txt}
{com}.         setx dem 0 allied 1 asym 1
{txt}
{com}. 
.                 generate xaxis=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simshigh=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simslow=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simspoint=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 local a=1
{txt}
{com}.                 local b=1
{txt}
{com}.                 while `a'<=6 {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.                         replace xaxis=`a' in `b'
{txt}  3{com}.                         setx salchal `a'
{txt}  4{com}.                         quietly simqi, prval(1) genpr(pi1)
{txt}  5{com}.                         _pctile pi1, p(2.5,50,97.5)
{txt}  6{com}.                         replace simslow=r(r1) in `b'
{txt}  7{com}.                         replace simspoint=r(r2) in `b'
{txt}  8{com}.                         replace simshigh=r(r3) in `b'
{txt}  9{com}.                         drop pi1
{txt} 10{com}.                         local a=`a'+1
{txt} 11{com}.                         local b=`b'+1
{txt} 12{com}.                         {c )-}
{txt}(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)

{com}. 
.         # delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         set more off;
{txt}
{com}.         sort xaxis;
{txt}
{com}.                                                         twoway rarea simslow simshigh xaxis, color("gs11") lw(none)
>                 ||line simspoint xaxis,
>                 legend(off)
>                 xtitle(Challenger's Salience,  size(large))
>                 xlabel(1 2 3 4 5 6,  labsize(large))
>                 ylabel(0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7,  labsize(large))                         
>                 ytitle("Probability of Moderate Coordination",  size(large))
>                 title(Moderate,  size(huge))
>                 lcolor("black")
>                 scheme(s1mono);
{res}{txt}
{com}.                                                                 # delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         drop b1-b10
{txt}
{com}.         drop simshigh* simslow* simspoint* xaxis
{txt}
{com}.         
.         estsimp ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{txt}Iteration 0:   log likelihood = {res}-635.48556
{txt}Iteration 1:   log likelihood = {res}-533.89489
{txt}Iteration 2:   log likelihood = {res}-531.27314
{txt}Iteration 3:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957
{txt}Iteration 4:   log likelihood = {res}-531.24957

{txt}Ordered logit estimates                           Number of obs   = {res}       592
                                                  {txt}LR chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}    208.47
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-531.24957                       {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1640

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
  peacecoord {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        cwin {c |}  {res} .9786044   .4317098     2.27   0.023     .1324687     1.82474
     {txt}salchal {c |}  {res} .2243523   .1134317     1.98   0.048     .0020302    .4466744
      {txt}saltgt {c |}  {res}-.4514725   .1162923    -3.88   0.000    -.6794013   -.2235437
      {txt}allied {c |}  {res}-.3449055   .2252809    -1.53   0.126    -.7864479    .0966369
      {txt}threat {c |}  {res} 5.744157   .6988976     8.22   0.000     4.374343    7.113971
  {txt}similarity {c |}  {res}  -.26504   .5040257    -0.53   0.599    -1.252912    .7228323
         {txt}dem {c |}  {res} 1.852499   .2899809     6.39   0.000     1.284147    2.420851
        {txt}asym {c |}  {res} 1.240848   .2078527     5.97   0.000     .8334644    1.648232
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
       _cut1 {c |}  {res} .6624655   .5944841          {txt}(Ancillary parameters)
       _cut2 {c |}  {res} 2.057674    .600159 
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10
{txt}
{com}. 
.         setx mean 
{txt}
{com}.         setx dem 0 allied 1 asym 1
{txt}
{com}. 
.                 generate xaxis=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simshigh=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simslow=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 gen simspoint=.
{txt}(1,000 missing values generated)

{com}.                 local a=1
{txt}
{com}.                 local b=1
{txt}
{com}.                 while `a'<=6 {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.                         replace xaxis=`a' in `b'
{txt}  3{com}.                         setx salchal `a'
{txt}  4{com}.                         quietly simqi, prval(2) genpr(pi1)
{txt}  5{com}.                         _pctile pi1, p(2.5,50,97.5)
{txt}  6{com}.                         replace simslow=r(r1) in `b'
{txt}  7{com}.                         replace simspoint=r(r2) in `b'
{txt}  8{com}.                         replace simshigh=r(r3) in `b'
{txt}  9{com}.                         drop pi1
{txt} 10{com}.                         local a=`a'+1
{txt} 11{com}.                         local b=`b'+1
{txt} 12{com}.                         {c )-}
{txt}(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)
(1 real change made)

{com}.                 
.         # delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         set more off;
{txt}
{com}.         sort xaxis;
{txt}
{com}.                                                         twoway rarea simslow simshigh xaxis, color("gs11") lw(none)
>                 ||line simspoint xaxis,
>                 legend(off)
>                 xtitle(Challenger's Salience,  size(large))
>                 xlabel(1 2 3 4 5 6,  labsize(large))
>                 ylabel(0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7,  labsize(large))                         
>                 ytitle("Probability of High Coordination",  size(large))
>                 title(High,  size(huge))
>                 lcolor("black")
>                 scheme(s1mono);
{res}{txt}
{com}.                                                                 # delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         drop b1-b10
{txt}
{com}.         drop simshigh* simslow* simspoint* xaxis
{txt}
{com}. 
. ********************************************************************************
. 
. * Online Appendix
.         
. * Figure A1
. 
.         hist peacecoord, start(0) discrete frequency  scheme(s1mono) xtitle(Level of Peacetime Coordination) xlabel(0 "Low" 1 "Moderate" 2 "High") plotregion(margin(l-20))
{txt}(start={res}0{txt}, width={res}1{txt})
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. * Figure A2
. 
.         hist cwin, frequency bin(75) scheme(s1mono) xtitle(Challenger's Relative Capabilities)
{txt}(bin={res}75{txt}, start={res}.00017264{txt}, width={res}.01296825{txt})
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. * Figure A3
. 
.         hist salchal, discrete frequency  scheme(s1mono) xtitle(Challenger's Salience) xlabel(1 2 3 4 5 6) plotregion(margin(l-10))
{txt}(start={res}1{txt}, width={res}1{txt})
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. * Table A1
. 
.         ologit peacecoord cwin saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-635.48556}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-534.35794}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-533.24051}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-533.23585}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-533.23585}  
{res}
{txt}Ordered logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       592
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}= {res}    204.50
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-533.23585{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1609

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  peacecoord{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}cwin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9360333{col 26}{space 2} .4275219{col 37}{space 1}    2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4} .0981057{col 67}{space 3} 1.773961
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2733766{col 26}{space 2} .0723223{col 37}{space 1}   -3.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4151257{col 67}{space 3}-.1316275
{txt}{space 6}allied {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3531451{col 26}{space 2} .2256083{col 37}{space 1}   -1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.118{col 54}{space 4}-.7953292{col 67}{space 3} .0890391
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.606401{col 26}{space 2} .6916461{col 37}{space 1}    8.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   4.2508{col 67}{space 3} 6.962003
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1658262{col 26}{space 2} .5008276{col 37}{space 1}   -0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.741{col 54}{space 4} -1.14743{col 67}{space 3} .8157779
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.916065{col 26}{space 2} .2873172{col 37}{space 1}    6.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.352934{col 67}{space 3} 2.479197
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.282937{col 26}{space 2} .2068958{col 37}{space 1}    6.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8774291{col 67}{space 3} 1.688446
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /cut1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5656734{col 26}{space 2} .5907873{col 54}{space 4}-.5922484{col 67}{space 3} 1.723595
{txt}       /cut2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.954679{col 26}{space 2} .5960212{col 54}{space 4} .7864986{col 67}{space 3} 3.122859
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Table A2
. 
.         ologit peacecoord salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-635.48556}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-534.82888}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-533.83862}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-533.83423}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-533.83423}  
{res}
{txt}Ordered logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       592
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}= {res}    203.30
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-533.83423{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1600

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  peacecoord{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}salchal {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2119592{col 26}{space 2} .1121453{col 37}{space 1}    1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.059{col 54}{space 4}-.0078415{col 67}{space 3} .4317598
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3959524{col 26}{space 2} .1124868{col 37}{space 1}   -3.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6164224{col 67}{space 3}-.1754823
{txt}{space 6}allied {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3288347{col 26}{space 2} .2249224{col 37}{space 1}   -1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.144{col 54}{space 4}-.7696745{col 67}{space 3}  .112005
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.550464{col 26}{space 2} .6865695{col 37}{space 1}    8.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.204813{col 67}{space 3} 6.896116
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1911031{col 26}{space 2} .5027783{col 37}{space 1}   -0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.704{col 54}{space 4} -1.17653{col 67}{space 3} .7943243
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.744498{col 26}{space 2} .2836783{col 37}{space 1}    6.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.188499{col 67}{space 3} 2.300498
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.172472{col 26}{space 2}  .204795{col 37}{space 1}    5.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7710814{col 67}{space 3} 1.573863
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /cut1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6204216{col 26}{space 2} .5934641{col 54}{space 4}-.5427467{col 67}{space 3}  1.78359
{txt}       /cut2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.004515{col 26}{space 2} .5987876{col 54}{space 4}  .830913{col 67}{space 3} 3.178117
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Table A3
. 
.         ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym if big==0

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-582.38449}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-491.88247}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -491.2145}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-491.21192}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-491.21192}  
{res}
{txt}Ordered logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       542
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}    182.35
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-491.21192{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1566

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  peacecoord{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}cwin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.065831{col 26}{space 2} .4387502{col 37}{space 1}    2.43{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4} .2058966{col 67}{space 3} 1.925766
{txt}{space 5}salchal {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2703114{col 26}{space 2} .1184971{col 37}{space 1}    2.28{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4} .0380614{col 67}{space 3} .5025613
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.498348{col 26}{space 2} .1212061{col 37}{space 1}   -4.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.7359076{col 67}{space 3}-.2607883
{txt}{space 6}allied {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4037354{col 26}{space 2} .2352813{col 37}{space 1}   -1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.086{col 54}{space 4}-.8648782{col 67}{space 3} .0574075
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.130118{col 26}{space 2} .7241413{col 37}{space 1}    8.47{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.710827{col 67}{space 3} 7.549408
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.008266{col 26}{space 2} .5453594{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-2.077151{col 67}{space 3} .0606187
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.130039{col 26}{space 2} .3079728{col 37}{space 1}    3.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .526423{col 67}{space 3} 1.733654
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.04903{col 26}{space 2} .2131883{col 37}{space 1}    4.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6311886{col 67}{space 3} 1.466872
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /cut1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0728794{col 26}{space 2} .6155792{col 54}{space 4}-1.279393{col 67}{space 3} 1.133634
{txt}       /cut2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.229488{col 26}{space 2} .6185359{col 54}{space 4} .0171803{col 67}{space 3} 2.441796
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         
. * Table A4
. 
.         ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym if frequent==0

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-423.92769}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-385.00292}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-384.83843}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-384.83832}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-384.83832}  
{res}
{txt}Ordered logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       397
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     78.18
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-384.83832{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0922

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  peacecoord{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}cwin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .995157{col 26}{space 2} .4557946{col 37}{space 1}    2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}  .101816{col 67}{space 3} 1.888498
{txt}{space 5}salchal {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .281049{col 26}{space 2} .1385875{col 37}{space 1}    2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} .0094225{col 67}{space 3} .5526756
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5029789{col 26}{space 2} .1367219{col 37}{space 1}   -3.68{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.7709488{col 67}{space 3} -.235009
{txt}{space 6}allied {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1724127{col 26}{space 2} .2437044{col 37}{space 1}   -0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.479{col 54}{space 4}-.6500647{col 67}{space 3} .3052392
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.524115{col 26}{space 2} .8168939{col 37}{space 1}    4.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.923033{col 67}{space 3} 5.125198
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.128679{col 26}{space 2} .6207806{col 37}{space 1}   -3.43{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-3.345386{col 67}{space 3}-.9119711
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1616233{col 26}{space 2} .4367922{col 37}{space 1}    0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.711{col 54}{space 4}-.6944738{col 67}{space 3}  1.01772
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6948941{col 26}{space 2} .2366881{col 37}{space 1}    2.94{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}  .230994{col 67}{space 3} 1.158794
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /cut1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.735518{col 26}{space 2} .7213227{col 54}{space 4}-3.149285{col 67}{space 3}-.3217518
{txt}       /cut2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6274032{col 26}{space 2} .7182416{col 54}{space 4}-2.035131{col 67}{space 3} .7803244
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         
. * Table A5
. 
.         ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym if influential==0

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-496.14711}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-309.44627}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-303.67131}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-303.55783}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-303.55781}  
{res}
{txt}Ordered logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       458
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}    385.18
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-303.55781{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3882

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  peacecoord{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}cwin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.083941{col 26}{space 2} .6754343{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .7601146{col 67}{space 3} 3.407768
{txt}{space 5}salchal {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4639676{col 26}{space 2} .1501625{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1696545{col 67}{space 3} .7582808
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8937004{col 26}{space 2} .1571855{col 37}{space 1}   -5.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.201778{col 67}{space 3}-.5856225
{txt}{space 6}allied {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6904273{col 26}{space 2} .3088372{col 37}{space 1}   -2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}-1.295737{col 67}{space 3}-.0851175
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 10.21353{col 26}{space 2} 1.040549{col 37}{space 1}    9.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.174087{col 67}{space 3} 12.25296
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.879381{col 26}{space 2} .8576694{col 37}{space 1}   -3.36{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-4.560382{col 67}{space 3} -1.19838
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.030617{col 26}{space 2} .4452376{col 37}{space 1}    9.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.157968{col 67}{space 3} 4.903267
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.500012{col 26}{space 2}  .273175{col 37}{space 1}    5.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9645984{col 67}{space 3} 2.035425
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /cut1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   -.8328{col 26}{space 2} .9329207{col 54}{space 4}-2.661291{col 67}{space 3} .9956909
{txt}       /cut2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.421745{col 26}{space 2} .9383668{col 54}{space 4}-.4174204{col 67}{space 3}  3.26091
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.                 
. * Table A6
. 
.         ologit peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt threat similarity dem asym if allied==0

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-121.53455}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-99.544765}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-99.063649}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-99.060753}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-99.060752}  
{res}
{txt}Ordered logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       113
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}= {res}     44.95
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-99.060752{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1849

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  peacecoord{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}cwin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.679786{col 26}{space 2} .9502751{col 37}{space 1}    2.82{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .8172807{col 67}{space 3} 4.542291
{txt}{space 5}salchal {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5102045{col 26}{space 2} .2632798{col 37}{space 1}    1.94{col 46}{space 3}0.053{col 54}{space 4}-.0058144{col 67}{space 3} 1.026223
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5463905{col 26}{space 2}  .258309{col 37}{space 1}   -2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4}-1.052667{col 67}{space 3} -.040114
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  4.10356{col 26}{space 2} 1.324302{col 37}{space 1}    3.10{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} 1.507977{col 67}{space 3} 6.699144
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.911062{col 26}{space 2}  1.25505{col 37}{space 1}   -1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-4.370915{col 67}{space 3} .5487901
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.411415{col 26}{space 2} .8040423{col 37}{space 1}    4.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.835521{col 67}{space 3} 4.987309
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6352711{col 26}{space 2} .4655129{col 37}{space 1}    1.36{col 46}{space 3}0.172{col 54}{space 4}-.2771173{col 67}{space 3}  1.54766
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /cut1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0702663{col 26}{space 2} 1.440275{col 54}{space 4}-2.893153{col 67}{space 3} 2.752621
{txt}       /cut2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.038711{col 26}{space 2} 1.457089{col 54}{space 4}-.8171316{col 67}{space 3} 4.894553
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.                 
. * Table A7
. 
.         gologit2 peacecoord cwin salchal saltgt allied threat similarity dem asym, auto

{txt}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}
Testing parallel lines assumption using the {res}.05{txt} level of significance...

Step{col 7}1: {col 11}Constraints for parallel lines {res}imposed for salchal {txt}(P Value = {res}0.9144{txt})
Step{col 7}2: {col 11}Constraints for parallel lines {res}imposed for allied {txt}(P Value = {res}0.3508{txt})
Step{col 7}3: {col 11}Constraints for parallel lines {res}imposed for dem {txt}(P Value = {res}0.2869{txt})
Step{col 7}4: {col 11}Constraints for parallel lines {res}imposed for similarity {txt}(P Value = {res}0.5527{txt})
Step{col 7}5: {col 11}Constraints for parallel lines {res}imposed for cwin {txt}(P Value = {res}0.0819{txt})
Step{col 7}6: {col 11}Constraints for parallel lines {res}imposed for threat {txt}(P Value = {res}0.1179{txt})
Step{col 7}7: {col 11}Constraints for parallel lines {res}are not imposed for 
{col 11}saltgt {txt}(P Value = {res}0.00000{txt})
{res}{col 11}asym {txt}(P Value = {res}0.00078{txt})

Wald test of parallel lines assumption for the final model:

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[Low]salchal - [Moderate]salchal = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} [Low]allied - [Moderate]allied = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} [Low]dem - [Moderate]dem = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} [Low]similarity - [Moderate]similarity = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 5)}{space 1} [Low]cwin - [Moderate]cwin = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 6)}{space 1} [Low]threat - [Moderate]threat = 0{p_end}

{txt}{col 12}chi2(  6) ={res}    7.44
{txt}{col 10}Prob > chi2 =  {res}  0.2823

{txt}An insignificant test statistic indicates that the final model
{res}does not violate {txt}the proportional odds/ parallel lines assumption

If you re-estimate this exact same model with {res}gologit2{txt}, instead 
of {res}autofit {txt}you can save time by using the parameter

{res}pl(salchal allied dem similarity cwin threat)

{txt}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}{c -}

Generalized Ordered Logit Estimates{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       592
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}    241.41
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-514.77969{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1899

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} [Low]salchal - [Moderate]salchal = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} [Low]allied - [Moderate]allied = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} [Low]dem - [Moderate]dem = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} [Low]similarity - [Moderate]similarity = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 5)}{space 1} [Low]cwin - [Moderate]cwin = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 6)}{space 1} [Low]threat - [Moderate]threat = 0{p_end}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  peacecoord{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}Low          {txt}{c |}
{space 8}cwin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.045434{col 26}{space 2}  .435746{col 37}{space 1}    2.40{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .1913875{col 67}{space 3} 1.899481
{txt}{space 5}salchal {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2224241{col 26}{space 2} .1157622{col 37}{space 1}    1.92{col 46}{space 3}0.055{col 54}{space 4}-.0044656{col 67}{space 3} .4493139
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6462345{col 26}{space 2} .1266018{col 37}{space 1}   -5.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.8943695{col 67}{space 3}-.3980995
{txt}{space 6}allied {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3062298{col 26}{space 2} .2290407{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.181{col 54}{space 4}-.7551413{col 67}{space 3} .1426817
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.183385{col 26}{space 2}  .726495{col 37}{space 1}    8.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.759481{col 67}{space 3} 7.607289
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2826733{col 26}{space 2}  .512234{col 37}{space 1}   -0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.581{col 54}{space 4}-1.286633{col 67}{space 3} .7212868
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.918863{col 26}{space 2}  .290324{col 37}{space 1}    6.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.349839{col 67}{space 3} 2.487888
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9687489{col 26}{space 2} .2229499{col 37}{space 1}    4.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5317752{col 67}{space 3} 1.405723
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1916875{col 26}{space 2} .6259866{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.759{col 54}{space 4}-1.035224{col 67}{space 3} 1.418599
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}Moderate     {txt}{c |}
{space 8}cwin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.045434{col 26}{space 2}  .435746{col 37}{space 1}    2.40{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .1913875{col 67}{space 3} 1.899481
{txt}{space 5}salchal {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2224241{col 26}{space 2} .1157622{col 37}{space 1}    1.92{col 46}{space 3}0.055{col 54}{space 4}-.0044656{col 67}{space 3} .4493139
{txt}{space 6}saltgt {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2502086{col 26}{space 2} .1228656{col 37}{space 1}   -2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4}-.4910208{col 67}{space 3}-.0093964
{txt}{space 6}allied {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3062298{col 26}{space 2} .2290407{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.181{col 54}{space 4}-.7551413{col 67}{space 3} .1426817
{txt}{space 6}threat {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.183385{col 26}{space 2}  .726495{col 37}{space 1}    8.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.759481{col 67}{space 3} 7.607289
{txt}{space 2}similarity {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2826733{col 26}{space 2}  .512234{col 37}{space 1}   -0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.581{col 54}{space 4}-1.286633{col 67}{space 3} .7212868
{txt}{space 9}dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.918863{col 26}{space 2}  .290324{col 37}{space 1}    6.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.349839{col 67}{space 3} 2.487888
{txt}{space 8}asym {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.722269{col 26}{space 2} .2595395{col 37}{space 1}    6.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.213581{col 67}{space 3} 2.230957
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.359419{col 26}{space 2} .6601397{col 37}{space 1}   -5.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.653269{col 67}{space 3}-2.065569
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\jcjohnson\Desktop\JohnsonIIrep\JohnsonIIrep\JohnsonIIrep2.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}31 Jul 2021, 12:47:45
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}